正如我所担心的：苹果敢于以具有如此强大杀伤力的价格发售iPhone 3G，自然是在反不签约 /破解上做了足够的准备：

用户将只能在AT&T以及苹果门店中购买iPhone 3G，不会出现网络购买，而且需要在购买的同时即选择套餐并激活iPhone 3G。

这意味着：即使iPhone 3G可以破解，也是在你签下两年合约之后，也就是说，价格不会是199/299美元。

同样，这也意味着M8的价格优势仍然存在（虽然功能优势已无）

AT&T announces voice and data prices for 3G iPhone
3:03 PM Mon, Jun 09, 2008 | Permalink | Yahoo! Buzz
Victor Godinez   E-mail   News tips

From AT&T:

    * With a two-year contract, the price of an 8GB iPhone 3G will be $199; the 16GB model will be priced at $299.

    * Unlimited iPhone 3G data plans for consumers will be available for $30 a month, in addition to voice plans starting at $39.99 a month.

    * Unlimited 3G data plans for business users will be available for $45 a month, in addition to a voice plan.

UPDATE: And you will be required to activate your phone at the store. From AT&T spokeswoman Sarah Andreani:

    When customers purchase their new 3G iPhone, customers will activate the device in the retail store. This is the traditional wireless activation model that our customers are very familiar with. In-store activation should take just a few minutes and customers will be able to leave with their iPhone up and running. This will be especially helpful if any questions or issues arise during activation.

UPDATE: And the only place you'll be able to buy the phone is in a physical AT&T or Apple store. The 3G iPhone will not be sold on either att.com or apple.com.。

http://techblog.dallasnews.com/a ... ice-and-data-p.html

本新闻页面，注意内容都是update后补充的，所以我认为基本可以认定是得到了官方确认的的消息。

我只关心港版的销售模式~
美版已经不考虑了

但是从美国得出的结果应该很有代表性，199美元就算不亏本卖，但肯定没多少利润，所以就必须从运营商那里赚钱，而这样的前提是必须为运营商争取足够的顾客，所以我认为这可能会是62个国家的全部共性，所差的只是具体资费而已。